
Monday, September 7, 2009
Wallstreet Brokers And Their Fabulous Lives

Thursday, July 16, 2009
Stocks-Buy and Hold and Hold and Hold
Over periods of 20 years or longer, stocks have never lost money, even after inflation.
By Jeremy J. Siegel, Contributing Editor
Stock-market investors are an unhappy bunch. Standard & Poor's 500-stock index is no higher than it was 12 years ago, and over the ten years ended in May, stocks have returned a dismal -1.7% per year. So it's no surprise that investors wonder whether "buy and hold" and "stocks for the long run" are discredited concepts (see Can You Time the Market?).
The short answer is that stocks are still the best long-term investments. As bad as the past decade has been, there have been other ten-year periods during which stocks have recorded even bigger losses. Yet over periods of 20 years or longer, stocks have never lost money, even after inflation. Including the latest bear market, stock returns have averaged 7.8% per year over the past 20 years and 11% annually over the past 30. Nevertheless, the assault on buy-and-hold investing continues. Robert Arnott, of Research Affiliates, recently observed in a widely publicized article that over the past 40 years, even lowly government bonds had outperformed stocks. Just a few months later, though, events overtook that claim as stocks rallied from their March lows and bond prices skidded.
Brighter future. After periods of sluggish returns, stocks tend to regain their oomph. Stock returns over the past five and ten years have fallen to the bottom quartile when measured against all five- and ten-year periods since 1871. But history shows that after reaching such a low, stocks' average return for the next five years has been almost 9.5% annually after inflation.
Furthermore, once stocks have plunged 50% from their highs, which they have done during the current bear market, investors have always been rewarded with winners over the next five years -- and that includes the Depression decade of the 1930s. In Dec-ember 1930, stocks were 50% off their highs of September 1929. Yet, over the next five years -- when the economy was experiencing the greatest con-traction in its history -- investors were rewarded with an annual return of 7% after inflation.
Value stocks. All the returns I've quoted reflect indexes based on market capitalization, the indexes that are used to measure market performance. But research has shown that investors would have done better if they had tilted their portfolios toward value stocks -- stocks that have higher-than-average dividend yields and lower-than-average price-earnings ratios. Even after the collapse of financial stocks over the past year (most financials fell into the value category), the Russell 3000 Value index has outperformed the capitalization-weighted index over the past five, ten, 20 and 30 years.
Evidence suggests that investors may be able to outdo the indexes by pursuing an activist strategy that shifts into or out of stocks depending on their valuation. However, this strategy requires investors to sell stocks of companies that have done well and buy shares that have done poorly -- an exercise that requires a huge (and often impossible) amount of self-control.
But now there are new indexes that rebalance stocks automatically and have outperformed both capitalization-weighted and even value indexes. These so-called fundamental indexes rank stocks by their dividends or earnings (or some other measure of a company's worth) instead of by their market value. Fundamental indexes automatically sell stocks that move up in price beyond their dividends or earnings and buy stocks whose prices lag. Dividend-weighted indexes have outperformed value indexes over the past ten, 20 and 30 years; earnings-weighted indexes have done even better.
In the long run, stocks are still the way to go. And if you want to give your returns an extra kick, value-oriented stocks and fundamental indexes may be your best bet.
Source: Kiplinger's Personal Finance Magazine August Issue 2009
Thursday, July 9, 2009
Visa-2009 Explosive Earnings Growth And In Future
Visa is a favorite stock of mine since I have been in it from its initial public offering back in March of 2008...here is another opinion on the validity of why you should invest in this stock now if you haven't already done so...remember that Visa is not a finance company...it provides financial transaction processing...the more the use of "plastic" (credit & debit cards) by the general public worldwide the greater their business and earnings growth potential:"In the current difficult macroeconomic environment it is hard to find companies that are earning a meaningful profit, let alone growing earnings. But Visa has been rewarding investors with explosive earnings growth and stock performance to boot.
+0.95 +1.60%
Monday, June 15, 2009
China and India: Investing In "Chindia" Again

Well, it seems its time to start investing in "Chindia" (China and India) again; emerging markets are the way to go now it seems...here are 12 Chinese stocks to consider...for long term investing (the next 3 to 10 years):
Two leading energy plays for both growth and income:
Infosys is forecasting its first-ever dollar revenue decline, projecting a fall of between 3% and 7%. And while a weak Indian rupee has meant that earnings measured in rupees have risen, U.S. investors have seen their ADRs lose value in dollar terms. But given that Infosys' growth has been driven by its ability to decrease costs for its customers via its outsourcing strategy, growth should resume once this storm passes.
Finance Explained - Check Out Rachelle O'Connar's Blog
Rachelle O'Connar is from Boston, MA. She shares her knowledge as it is related to finance. As she states: "We are all acquainted with the word 'finance', but still knowing about it a bit more would help us to gain more knowledge about our rapidly changing economy and its cycle especially its downfall or we can say 'depression' which we are facing presently."
Monday, January 5, 2009
Best Fund Picks For 2009 Investing
Bridgeway Aggressive Investors 2 (BRAIX) Houston,TX - long term record of wins, this fund lost 57% -- 5% per year better performance than S&P (18% more than S&P 500-stock index in 2008). Investors have received an annualized 12% return since inception in 1994 on the "Investors 1" fund which is now closed...but consider the same techniques will be used for this fund.
CGM Focus (CGMFX) Boston,MA - lost 50% in 2008; long-term record for the last ten years 18% annualized return; average 19% per year better performance than S&P.
Loomis Sayles Bond (LSBRX) Boston,MA - lost 24% in 2008;a similar fund to this one (initiated in 1991) that they managed gave an 8.5% annualized return.
T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets (PRMSX) Baltimore,MD - lost 62% due to investments in Russia in 2008, but two new fund managers take over in March along with the input from 21 analysts.
Vanguard Primecap Core (VPCCX) Valley Forge, PA - lost 34% in 2008 but still outperformed the S&P 500 by 5%. The fund emphasizes stocks of large, high-quality companies.
Vanguard Primecap (VPMCX) Valley Forge,PA - a fund that is almost closed to new investors is a near clone of Primecap Core; has an annualized return of 12% for the past decade.
Clipper Fund (CFIMX) Canton,MA - value-stock fund
Yacktman Fund (YACKX)Austin,TX - a mid-cap offering
Mairs & Power Growth (MPGFX)ST. Paul, MN - quality blend-equity fund combining growth and value, some large caps
Meridian Value Fund (MVALX)Pawtucket, RI - mid-caps offering the growth and value style
(source: Kiplinger.com, ConsumerReports)
Is More Money Really The Answer?
"Joque Du Jour":
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